The curvature nobody applied
Assumes The deflection that arrives three years late and The movement nobody applied.
A deflection calculation is a division: a moment by a stiffness, integrated twice. Everything in it comes from the load.
A concrete member’s deflection contains several contributions that came from nowhere near the load, and one of them is a curvature the member acquired by drying out. It has no moment behind it, it satisfies equilibrium with nothing on the section, and it adds to the deflection exactly as though somebody had applied a bending moment along the whole span.
Which free body produced the number
Take a slice of a reinforced section and let the concrete shrink freely by a strain . The steel does not shrink. So the two cannot both do what they want, and the section settles at a compromise fixed by compatibility.
Write the compromise as a uniform strain plus a curvature — , which is all a plane section can take. Two conditions close it: the axial forces sum to zero, because nothing is applied, and the moments sum to zero for the same reason.
If the steel is symmetric about the centroid, the second condition is satisfied at and the answer is a pure shortening. If it is not, the steel’s restraint has a lever arm about the centroid and the curvature is
where is the first moment of the reinforcement about the section’s own centroid and the modular ratio. A first moment of the steel — an asymmetry — is the entire driver, and where the steel is symmetric it is zero.
Two things follow immediately, and both are counter-intuitive.
Why the lightly reinforced member is worse
The first is that more steel does not mean more curvature.
Adding steel to the tension face increases and increases , and past a point the second wins. Adding steel to the compression face reduces directly. So the worst case is a member with a modest amount of steel, all of it in one face — which is a lightly reinforced slab, the member nobody expects to have a problem.
The second is that cracking makes it worse rather than better. A cracked section has lost its tension zone, so its centroid has risen toward the compression face and the steel’s lever arm about that centroid has grown, while has fallen by 40% or more. Both changes increase .
Neither of those is a small correction, and they compound. The lever arm grows by roughly the distance the neutral axis moved and the divisor falls by two thirds, so a section that cracks acquires a shrinkage curvature several times the one the gross section would have given it — from a load that changed nothing about the shrinkage.
Which of those two bounds a member sits near is decided by how far past its cracking moment it is, and a beam is stiffer than its cracked section says by an amount that depends on the concrete’s tensile strength — the property with the widest scatter and the least direct test.
That sensitivity is the figure at the top of this essay, and it is worth reading as a warning about the whole subject: a member designed to sit just above its cracking moment has put its computed deflection on a number nobody can measure to better than twenty per cent, and a twenty per cent change there moves the answer by a factor of thirty-seven.
Creep, which multiplies a different thing
The other time-dependent effect is creep, and the two are frequently conflated because both take years and both make deflections worse.
Creep is a multiplier on what the load did. The deflection that arrives three years late is the essay about it, and its arithmetic is a reduced effective modulus applied to the same moment.
Shrinkage is an addition that the load had no part in. A member carrying nothing at all still acquires its shrinkage curvature.
The two interact, because the shrinkage curvature itself develops slowly and is relieved by creep as it develops, so the usual treatment applies an age-adjusted modulus to both. But the distinction matters for where each is largest: creep is worst on a heavily and permanently loaded member, and shrinkage curvature is worst on a lightly loaded one. A lightly loaded slab can have more of its long-term deflection from shrinkage than from creep.
What it is worth on a real slab
The arithmetic is short enough to do once.
Take a 200 mm slab spanning 6 m, reinforced with 1,100 mm²/m in the bottom face only, at an effective depth of 165 mm. Cracked, the neutral axis sits about 45 mm from the top, so the steel’s lever arm about the cracked section’s centroid is around 120 mm. With a free shrinkage strain of 400 microstrain, a modular ratio of 15 and a cracked second moment of about 210×10⁶ mm⁴ per metre, the curvature comes to roughly 0.35 per kilometre.
A constant curvature over a simply supported span deflects it by , which for 6 m is 1.6 mm. On its own that is nothing — span over 3,800.
Now put the same slab at a span of 9 m and thin it to 175 mm, which is what a designer working to a span-to-depth table would do. The curvature roughly doubles, because the section is shallower and the steel more one-sided; the term more than doubles again; and the shrinkage deflection reaches something like 8 mm, against a total limit of 9 m over 250, which is 36. It has taken a fifth of the allowance before any load has been applied.
Everything that punishes a thin slab punishes it twice over, and that figure is the strength half of it. The shrinkage half runs the same way for the same reason: a shallower section puts its steel proportionally further from the centroid and gives the curvature a smaller second moment to divide by, so the term that was 1.6 mm at 200 mm and 6 m is several times that at 175 mm and 9.
That is the shape of the whole effect. It is negligible on short, thick, symmetrically reinforced members and a substantial fraction of the allowance on long, thin, singly reinforced ones — which are exactly the members a span-to-depth rule produces, because the rule was calibrated on the total and not on its parts.
The cheapest fix is compression steel. Putting a modest area in the top face reduces directly, and unlike almost every other intervention in this collection it costs nothing structurally: the top bars are doing no work in a sagging region and are there purely to make the section shrink straight.
The restraint that is outside the member, which cracks it
Everything above is internal restraint: the reinforcement inside the section holding the concrete back, with a lever arm about the centroid, producing a curvature. There is a second kind, it is usually larger, and it does something else entirely.
A floor slab is attached to columns, to cores, to walls and to the floor below. None of those shrinks with it, so the slab is held axially as well as bent internally. A fully restrained member that wants to shrink by 400 microstrain and is not allowed to develops
of tension, against a tensile strength of about 2.9. Creep relieves perhaps half of it, because the strain arrives slowly, leaving 6 — still more than twice what the concrete can take.
Full restraint is rare. A floor slab held by ordinary columns and a core has a restraint factor of perhaps 0.3 to 0.5, which puts the sustained tension at 1.8 to 3.0 N/mm². That straddles the tensile strength, which is the honest description of why some floors crack from restrained shrinkage and some do not, and why nobody can say in advance which.
The consequence loops back into everything in this essay. A slab that has cracked from restraint has spent its cracking moment before any load arrives, so it behaves as the fully cracked section from day one — and the cracked section is precisely the one with the larger shrinkage curvature, because its centroid has risen and the steel’s lever arm about it has grown. External restraint cracks the member, and cracking makes the internal-restraint curvature worse.
The design responses are all about reducing the restraint rather than resisting it, which is what an imposed deformation always asks for: movement joints, a pour sequence that lets each bay shrink before the next is cast against it, delay strips left open for weeks and closed late, and slip membranes under ground slabs. Where the restraint cannot be removed, the reinforcement is sized by a crack-width calculation rather than by a strength one — steel provided not to carry a force but to divide one large crack into many small ones.
That is the whole difference between a restraint calculation and a strength one. Steel in a restrained member is not resisting anything, because the movement it is arguing with was fixed before any reinforcement was chosen; it is dividing that movement into pieces small enough to be acceptable. Which is also why doubling the steel halves the crack and never removes it.
Which gives the two mechanisms in one sentence. Internal restraint bends the member; external restraint cracks it; and the crack makes the bend worse.
The general shape of the effect
Shrinkage curvature is one member of a family, and the family is easier to recognise than any of its members.
Whenever a member is given a strain distribution it cannot take — because plane sections have to stay plane — the difference between what it wants and what it is allowed becomes a self-equilibrating stress field: a distribution of stress across the section whose resultant force is zero and whose resultant moment is zero, which is to say one that is invisible to every equilibrium check that could be made on it. A thermal gradient does it, differential shrinkage does it, a welding pass does it, and a section made of two materials with different time-dependent behaviour does it continuously.
The pair in that figure is the whole logic. A curvature and a moment are alternatives: a member free to bend takes the curvature and carries no stress, a member restrained carries the stress and does not move, and every real member is somewhere between with the position decided by its supports rather than by itself. The movement nobody applied is the essay about the restrained end of that spectrum; this one is about the free end, where the price is a deflection instead of a stress.
Where it accumulates
In a single member the effect is a deflection. In a building it is a difference between one part and another.
The two parts peak in different places for a reason worth keeping. The load-driven difference is largest halfway up, because a floor near the top has almost nothing above it to shorten what is beneath, and a floor near the bottom has almost nothing beneath it. The shrinkage-driven difference does not care what is above it at all — every metre of column shrinks whether or not it is loaded — so it accumulates monotonically and their sum is worst at the roof, at 56 mm across a 9 m bay, a floor out of level by one in 160.
That is the columns being shorter than the core with the shrinkage half separated out, and the separation matters because the two are corrected by different means: the load part by a construction-stage adjustment, the shrinkage part by making the two elements shrink alike.
The deflection as a sum
Putting it together, the deflection of a concrete member at the end of its life is a sum with at least five terms.
The elastic deflection under the load that is present. The creep multiplier on the permanent part of it. The shrinkage curvature, from no load at all. The cracking, which reduced the stiffness the first two terms divide by. And the shear deflection, which for most beams is small.
Only the first of those five is what a deflection calculation classically computes, and stiffness is not strength is the essay about why the sum matters at all, and the others are between them frequently larger. That is why concrete deflection prediction is unreliable in a way steel deflection prediction is not: the steel beam’s answer is a division and the concrete beam’s is a sum of five terms, four of which depend on time, humidity, cracking history and construction sequence.
Where the model stops
The free shrinkage strain is an estimate. It depends on the humidity, the member’s surface-to-volume ratio, the cement content and the aggregate, and it is quoted as a range of two to one. Everything computed from it inherits that range.
Shrinkage is not uniform across the section. The surfaces dry first and the core last, so a thick member has its own internal gradient — a self-equilibrating field within the section, on top of the curvature the reinforcement causes. The arithmetic here treats the shrinkage as a single number applied everywhere.
Cracking and shrinkage are not independent. The shrinkage curvature above was computed on a cracked section, and part of what cracked it may have been the restrained shrinkage itself — so a slab restrained at its ends cracks earlier than its applied moment predicts and then has a larger curvature for the same load. The sequence closes on itself and there is no closed form for it.
Restraint outside the member has been ignored. A slab cast between stiff walls cannot shorten, so it cracks instead, and a cracked slab has a different stiffness and a different shrinkage curvature. That coupling is not in any of the expressions above.
Why it is nearly always found late
There is a characteristic history to a shrinkage-curvature problem, and it is worth recognising because every stage of it looks like something else.
The slab is designed to a span-to-depth ratio and passes. It is built and it is flat. Over the first winter a line of cracking appears over the supports, which is attributed to the construction sequence. Over two or three years the mid-span sags visibly — visibly, because a person can see about one part in 250 of a span when there is a straight line such as a partition head or a window reveal to compare it against.
By then the investigation has three candidates and no way to separate them. The concrete may have been weaker than specified; the slab may have been loaded early; the props may have been struck before it had strength. All three are plausible, all three are unprovable years later, and none of them is what happened.
What settles it, when anything does, is the shape. A deflection caused by load is proportional to the load’s own moment diagram and is largest where the load is. A shrinkage deflection is proportional to a curvature that is nearly constant along the span, so it produces a circular arc — and a bay that has sagged uniformly, including the parts carrying nothing, has sagged for a reason the loading cannot explain.
The second tell is the neighbours. Shrinkage curvature depends on the reinforcement layout, so two bays with the same load and different bar arrangements deflect differently. A load-driven problem does not do that.
What the picture cannot show
The curvature has no moment diagram. There is nothing to draw for it in the place where a structural drawing would put the cause of a deflection, and no analysis output contains a member force corresponding to it.
That absence is the practical difficulty. A deflection that exceeds a limit is investigated by looking at the loads and the stiffnesses, and the term responsible may be neither — it may be a curvature that arrived because the top steel was curtailed and the bottom steel was not, in a member carrying nothing unusual at all.
Nor does any figure show that the effect is a rate. Half of the shrinkage happens in the first few months and the rest over years, so a slab that passed its deflection check at handover fails it three years later with nothing having changed on it.
The generalisation
The habit worth carrying is to treat a strain the member cannot take as a load case in its own right.
Every one of the effects in this essay begins the same way: some part of a section wants a strain that a plane section cannot accommodate, and the difference has to go somewhere. If the member is free, it goes into a curvature and produces a movement with no stress. If it is held, it goes into a self-equilibrating stress field with no movement. Real members are partly held and get some of each.
That is the same statement as a residual stress, as a thermal gradient, as differential creep between two materials, and as the locked-in stresses of a section built in stages. Five subjects, one mechanism, and the useful diagnostic is a question rather than a calculation: what strain does this member want, and what is it allowed?
What this makes readable
Essays that name this one as a prerequisite.
Named alongside this one
Essays reaching for the same objects. Nobody chose these; they are what the concept index makes visible.
- The angle nobody limits compatibility · curvature · deflection · restraint · serviceability
- The gap nobody computed camber · creep · deflection · serviceability · shrinkage
- The limit that depends on a date camber · creep · serviceability · shrinkage · tension stiffening
- The section that changed while it was being loaded camber · creep · differential shortening · modular ratio · self-equilibrating
- The stress nobody restrained curvature · restraint · self-equilibrating · serviceability · thermal gradient
- The creep that belongs to the member creep · deflection · serviceability · shrinkage
What links here
Every essay whose body links to this one.
The objects this essay names
Each one links to every other essay that touches it.
CamberCompatibilityCracked sectionCreepCurvatureDeflectionDifferential shorteningModular ratioReinforcementRestraintSelf-equilibratingServiceabilityShrinkageTension stiffeningThermal gradient