Structural Engineering & Statics
where the load goes
Concept

Reliability — where it appears

Whether a calculation's many uncertainties combine as a sum or in quadrature — the difference between assuming they coincide and assuming they are independent. The second is what almost every safety format is built on, and it rests on the uncertainties being unrelated. A single physical cause with several consequences breaks that assumption entirely.

Named by 10 essays across 3 fields — each of them below, with the objects they name alongside it.

The characteristic strength, which nothing was measured at. A lognormal population of strengths with a mean of 30 N/mm² and a coefficient of variation of 0.15. The characteristic value is the 5% fractile — 23.2 N/mm², which is 77% of the mean, and which need not be the strength of any specimen that was tested. Dividing it by 1.50 gives 15.5, and the shaded sliver below that is the fraction of the population that would fail to reach it: 6.4e-6, or one in 155,818. A factor applied to a fractile is not covering the scatter, because the scatter has already been spent getting to the fractile.

The strength no specimen had

A material property is written into a calculation as a number, and a material does not have one. It has a population of strengths with a mean and a spread, and the number used is a low fractile of that population — a value that need not have been measured, that most of the material exceeds, and whose distance below the mean is decided entirely by the scatter.

materials · Characteristic strength The gap is a sum of five things and only one of them is computed. What a 30 mm movement joint is asked to accommodate, by three combination rules. The top bar is every term at its extreme, added: 33.2 mm, which assumes the hottest day, the fullest floor, the whole of the shrinkage and the worst-placed wall arrive together. The chance of that is about 1.5%. The bottom bar treats them as independent and asks for 16.0 mm. The middle bar is the rule used for actions and almost never for movements — one term at its full value and the rest at their coincidence factors — and gives 25.5 mm. The segments across the top bar are the terms themselves, and the ordering is the finding: the largest is tolerance at 10.0 mm, which is not a structural quantity at all, and the smallest is deflection at 3.2 mm — the only one anybody computes carefully, and 10% of the total.

The gap nobody computed

A movement joint is sized by adding up everything the structure will do to it, and the deflection calculation — the only term anybody computes carefully — is usually the smallest one in the list. The largest is a construction tolerance, which is not a structural quantity at all, and the sum of the extremes is nearly twice what treating them as independent would ask for.

deflection · Movement budget Three specimens cannot see the tail. The factor k applied to the sample's own scatter when a characteristic value is estimated from n specimens. With the scatter known in advance it is z·sqrt(1 + 1/n) and barely moves; with the scatter estimated from the same n results it is the Student t quantile instead, and it runs from 7.73 at two specimens to 1.73 at 30. At n = 4 the characteristic strength comes out at 23.8 N/mm² against 27.9 for a population known exactly — 15% lower, for a material that is identical. A small test programme does not report a worse estimate of the strength; it reports a worse strength.

The strength that belongs to the test programme

A characteristic strength is a fractile of a distribution, and a distribution estimated from four specimens is not the same object as one known exactly. The same material tested four times reports a strength 15 per cent below what it reports when its scatter is known — and nothing about the material differs.

materials · Characteristic strength The floor under the reduction rises with the correlation. The least factor a column carrying ever more floors may take, against the correlation between floors, for an office imposed load with a coefficient of variation of 0.6, its characteristic value the 95th percentile, loads normal: (1 + zv√ρ)/(1 + zv). With independent floors it is 0.503, the floor the independence argument found; at a correlation of 0.1 it is 0.660, at 0.3 0.775, at 0.5 0.855. EN 1991-1-1's storey rule falls to ψ₀ = 0.70 (dashed), and the two cross at a correlation of 0.157: floors that move together any more than that make the rule's tall-building reduction larger than the averaging can pay for.

The floors that fill up together

A column may be designed for less than the sum of its floors' imposed loads because the floors do not reach their worst day together — an argument that assumes each floor's load is independent of every other's. Let any two floors be correlated, and the reduction the averaging can pay for shrinks, and stops shrinking at a higher floor. At a correlation of 0.16 that floor reaches the 0.7 the storey rule falls to. One tenant on five floors halves what twenty floors can average away.

equilibrium · Live load reduction Split into what stays and what visits, the column needs far less. The factor a column may take on n floors' summed characteristic imposed loads, keeping the 50-year load at the 95th percentile, for office imposed load as a sustained part of mean 0.50 kN/m², renewed with each tenancy every five years on average, and intermittent loads of mean 0.2 kN/m² arriving 0.3 times a year on each floor for three days: floors let one by one, in tenancies of 5, and to one tenant; the one-number model with the same tenancies (dotted) and the storey rule (dashed). At 20 floors: 0.27, 0.37 and 0.60, against 0.75 for the one-number model and 0.73 for the rule. One floor's characteristic load is 3.24 kN/m².

The load that stays and the load that visits

An office floor's imposed load is two loads: a sustained one that arrives with a tenant and stays until the next, and intermittent ones — a party, a move, a crowd — that visit one floor for a few days. Simulated over fifty years, a floor's characteristic load is set mostly by its worst visit, and visits on different floors almost never coincide. So twenty floors let one by one need only 0.27 of their summed loads, in tenancies of five 0.37 and to one tenant 0.60, against the storey rule's 0.73. The rule is safe for offices by a wide margin. It stops being safe only where the load stays — an archive or a library let to one occupier — and there its column load is exceeded in a quarter of lives.

equilibrium · Live load reduction A quarter of the visits shared uses up the whole reduction. The factor needed by 20 floors carrying office imposed load — a sustained part of mean 0.50 kN/m² renewed every five years on average, and visits of mean 0.2 kN/m² arriving 0.3 times a year on each floor for three days, against the share of the visits made by the whole building at once: floors let singly (solid) and to one tenant (dashed), and the storey rule's 0.73 (dotted). With no share, 0.26 and 0.60; with a tenth, 0.51 and 0.67; with a quarter, 0.68 and 0.75; with all, 0.96 and 0.97. The rule's factor is reached at a share of 0.34 let singly and 0.21 to one tenant.

The visits that come to every floor at once

A floor's characteristic imposed load is set mostly by its worst visit — a party, a move, a crowd — and visits to different floors almost never coincide, which is why a column carrying twenty office floors needs only about a quarter of their summed loads. Let some of the visits be made by the whole building at once and nothing changes on any one floor; one floor cannot tell. The column can. A tenth of the visits shared takes the twenty-floor factor from 0.26 to 0.51, a quarter to 0.68, and a third uses up the whole of the storey rule's reduction. The rule fails in exactly the buildings whose use synchronises the crowd, and it fails most where the load mostly visits.

equilibrium · Live load reduction Three cores and a specification say more together. The predictive distribution of a core's strength in an existing structure: from a concrete specified to a mean of 38 N/mm² and a coefficient of variation of 15 per cent, that prior carrying the weight of 3 specimens on its mean and 10 degrees of freedom on its scatter, before any core is taken (dotted); from three cores of mean 33.0 N/mm² and coefficient of variation 12 per cent alone (dashed); and from both (solid); each with its 5 per cent characteristic value marked. The specification alone gives 27.5 N/mm²; the cores alone, 21.9, because three results cannot pin down a scatter; together, 26.5.

The strength three cores revise

A characteristic strength estimated from three specimens and nothing else is heavily penalised, because three results cannot say how scattered a material is. An existing structure is never nothing else. It was built to a specified grade, from a population of concretes whose scatter is known in general, and three cores drilled from it revise that knowledge rather than replace it. Together they give a characteristic strength that three cores alone would need twenty to match. The same arithmetic catches a concrete much weaker than its specification, because cores that disagree with the prior widen it — unless the prior is given so much weight that it no longer listens.

materials · Characteristic strength Counted honestly, cores from one bay hand the estimate to the specification. The share of the structure's concrete that falls below the 5 per cent characteristic value estimated from three cores from one bay of a structure's concrete of mean 33.0 N/mm² and coefficient of variation 12 per cent, updating the specification — a mean of 38 N/mm² and a coefficient of variation of 15 per cent, carrying the weight of 3 specimens on its mean and 10 degrees of freedom on its scatter, averaged over 2,000 drillings, against the correlation between two cores from one bay: the cores counted as independent (dashed), counted by their correlation (solid), and three cores drilled from three bays (light); dotted, the 5 per cent an honest estimate gives. At ρ = 0.5, 6.2% and 6.5%, and 4.8%; at 0.9, 7.4% and 7.3%, and 4.8%.

The cores that agree for the wrong reason

Three cores drilled a metre apart in one slab share a pour, a curing and a morning's water, so they agree with each other more closely than they agree with the rest of the building. Counted as three independent specimens, they overstate what is known — and with nothing else to go on, the estimate built on them leaves a quarter of the building's concrete below a value meant to leave a twentieth. Counting them by their correlation repairs that. But once the specification is in the update, the honest count hands the estimate back to the specification, and a concrete weaker than it was meant to be hides behind it. The repair is not in the arithmetic. It is in where the cores are drilled.

materials · Characteristic strength One alarm in a few hundred that empties the building sets the column's load. The factor on the summed characteristic loads that a column carrying 20 floors needs, for office load and a corridor crowd at one alarm a year, evacuated three floors at a time, against the share of alarms that escalate to every floor at once (logarithmic), with 25% and 50% of the tributary area corridor; dotted, each with every alarm a full evacuation; dashed, the storey rule's 0.73. 25% corridor: 0.26 with none escalating, 0.27 at one in five hundred, 0.33 at one in a hundred, 0.38 at one in twenty, against 0.49 in full every time; 50% corridor: 0.29 with none escalating, 0.39 at one in five hundred, 0.59 at one in a hundred, 0.75 at one in twenty, against 0.90 in full every time.

The stair that empties three floors at a time

A column beside an escape stair carries the corridor crowd of every evacuation, and when every floor empties at once its floors are loaded together and earn almost no reduction. Tall buildings are usually evacuated in phases instead, three floors at a time, so that the stair is never asked to carry everyone. Under such a stair the column earns its reduction back and more — 0.29 of the summed floor loads, where the storey rule allows 0.73. But a phased strategy is a plan for the usual alarm, and the column's characteristic load belongs to the unusual one. If one alarm in a hundred escalates to a full evacuation, the factor climbs back to 0.59; one in twenty, and it passes the rule.

equilibrium · Live load reduction Under a light building the first thing the pump was holding up is the building. The hours after the pump stops at which each check on the basement is used up — the slab's 0.2 mm cracks and the building's flotation — against the number of storeys over it, with the water table risen 3.0 m and ground recovering in 12 hours; drawn at 48 hours where a check is never used up. The cracks' deadline is 9.5 h whatever the building. Flotation's is at once under 2 storeys, 1.0 h under 4 storeys, 4.7 h under 5 storeys, 10.1 h under 6 storeys, never under 8 storeys; with 5 storeys or fewer it comes first.

The building held down by its pump

A basement whose water table has risen above its design level is often given back its design head by a pump under the slab, and from then on it is safe while the pump runs. When the pump stops the water comes back on the ground's own clock, and the checks the pump was protecting are lost in an order the building's weight decides. Under eight storeys only the slab's cracks were ever at risk; under five, the building's flotation check goes first, four and three-quarter hours after the pump stops, and the slab's strength is never in question at all. A structure that was safe by its weight has become one that is safe by a machine, and the machine's reliability is now one of its loads.

equilibrium · Uplift

Named alongside it

The objects these essays reach for when they reach for this one.

FractileIndependenceLoad combinationCharacteristic strengthCharacteristic valueImposed loadLive load reductionPartial factorScatterTestingTributary areaQuality control

All concepts